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A ‘New’ Trend in the Housing Market?

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The U.S. housing market is shifting in ways not seen in more than a decade. For the first time since at least 2013, signs are emerging that the balance between sellers and buyers is beginning to tilt.

National data shows that in June 2025, active listings topped 1 million—a 31.5 percent increase from a year earlier. That means more homes on the market and, at least in some regions, more options for buyers.

But this trend is far from uniform.

In the Sun Belt, places like Miami and Austin are seeing dramatic increases in inventory. Florida alone reported a 22.7 percent jump in homes for sale year-over-year. Analysts say multiple factors are driving this: overbuilding during the pandemic housing boom of 2020–2022, higher mortgage rates that cooled demand, rising insurance costs tied to hurricane risks, investor sell-offs, and even some out-migration. Together, these conditions push many Sun Belt cities into what experts now call buyer’s markets.

In contrast, the Northeast and Midwest remain relatively tight. Inventory shortages persist, giving sellers the upper hand in many of those areas.

Even so, the broader U.S. market feels more buyer-friendly than at any time since 2016. But analysts caution this isn’t yet a classic buyer’s market, where purchasers can significantly drive down prices. Instead, it’s more of a slow shift in power.

One clear sign of change is the price cuts. More than 20 percent of listings in June reduced their asking price—the highest level since 2016. And according to Redfin, there were nearly 500,000 more sellers than buyers in April 2025. That imbalance is expected to put downward pressure on prices in the coming months.

For sellers, home prices remain relatively high, meaning the market is still attractive. But for buyers, especially in overbuilt regions, the tide may finally be turning—offering a little more room to negotiate.

 

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