Scott's Turn
The Hidden Cost of Empty Storefronts
Drive through almost any small town in America, and you will see them.
Empty storefronts.
Sometimes it is a building that has been vacant for years. Sometimes there is still a faded outline on the window where the previous business name used to be. Other times, it is a storefront you remember being occupied not that long ago.
When we see enough of them, the natural reaction is to ask: Why can’t someone put a business there?
But I think that question starts in the wrong place.
Empty storefronts aren’t usually the problem. They are a symptom of something happening beneath the surface of a local economy.
And if we want stronger downtowns and healthier local economies, we need to understand what those empty windows are actually telling us.
A Storefront Is the End of a Much Bigger Equation
Opening a small business is relatively easy.
Keeping one open is much harder.
Before a business owner sells the first product or serves the first customer, there is already a long list of expenses: rent or a mortgage, utilities, insurance, payroll, taxes, inventory, equipment, credit card fees, advertising, maintenance, and countless other costs.
Then the doors open and the business needs customers.
Not occasionally.
Consistently.
That distinction matters.
A busy festival weekend can be great for a downtown business. So can a beautiful Saturday afternoon when sidewalks are full of visitors.
But businesses don’t pay their bills only on festival weekends.
They have to survive rainy Tuesdays in February too.
A healthy business district therefore needs more than occasional crowds. It needs a consistent flow of economic activity throughout the year.
When that activity isn’t there, businesses eventually disappear.
The empty storefront is simply what we see afterward.
The Economics of Small Business Have Changed
There is also a tendency to compare today’s downtowns with those of decades ago.
That comparison isn’t particularly useful because the way Americans shop has fundamentally changed.
A generation ago, if you needed clothing, a gift, hardware, or household goods, there was a good chance you bought it from a local store.
Today, nearly anything can arrive at your front door within a day or two.
Small businesses aren’t simply competing with the store down the street anymore. They are competing with every retailer online.
At the same time, operating costs continue to rise.
Labor costs more. Insurance costs more. Utilities cost more. Inventory costs more. Shipping costs more.
That doesn’t mean small businesses cannot succeed. Many do.
But the margin for error has become considerably smaller.
One Vacancy Affects More Than One Building
This is where the cost of an empty storefront exceeds the rent that isn’t being collected.
Imagine a block with ten storefronts, all ten occupied.
Each business gives someone another reason to visit that block. A customer may come downtown for lunch, walk into a neighboring shop, grab a coffee and discover another business they didn’t know existed.
Those businesses benefit from one another.
Now remove two or three of them.
There are fewer reasons to visit. There are fewer windows to look into. There are fewer customers walking between businesses.
Eventually, the remaining businesses have to work harder to attract the same amount of traffic.
Vacancy can become self-reinforcing.
One empty storefront doesn’t destroy a downtown. But concentrated vacancy can gradually reduce the economic energy of an entire block.
There Is Also a Perception Cost
People make remarkably quick judgments about places.
When visitors arrive in a downtown filled with active storefronts, restaurants, signs, displays and people walking around, the community feels vibrant.
When they encounter several empty buildings in a row, the perception changes.
Fair or not, vacancy can suggest decline.
That perception matters because people behave differently based on what they believe about a place.
Visitors may spend less time there. Entrepreneurs may hesitate to invest. Existing businesses may question whether to expand.
The physical condition of a commercial district becomes part of its economic story.
What About the Buildings Themselves?
Another argument that often comes up in conversations about vacant storefronts is that before we worry about attracting businesses, we need to fix the buildings.
There is truth in that.
Property owners have a responsibility in a healthy commercial district. Buildings need to be safe, functional, and reasonably maintained. A prospective business owner is far less likely to take a chance on a property that needs substantial electrical work, plumbing, structural repairs, or tens of thousands of dollars in improvements before the doors can even open.
Appearance matters too. Neglected buildings affect the perception of an entire block, not just the individual property.
So yes, reinvestment in our commercial buildings is part of the equation.
But we should be careful not to confuse improving the container with creating the economic activity necessary to fill it.
We could renovate every vacant storefront tomorrow. Give them beautiful facades, new windows, modern electrical systems and freshly painted interiors.
Then what?
Someone still has to be willing to invest their money and open a business inside.
More importantly, that business still needs enough customers spending enough money throughout the year to remain profitable.
A renovated building can remove an obstacle to investment. It cannot manufacture consumer demand.
The two issues are connected, and neither should be ignored. Communities need property owners willing to maintain and reinvest in their buildings, but property owners also need confidence that businesses want to occupy those spaces. Businesses, in turn, need confidence that there are enough customers to support them.
That is why simply saying “fix the buildings” doesn’t fully address the vacancy issue. I personally believe that if you fix the customer problem, the “fix the buildings” issue will resolve itself naturally through supply and demand.
The real challenge is creating an environment in which investing in the building, opening the business, and operating it all make economic sense.
When those pieces begin working together, storefronts don’t just get filled.
They stay filled.
But Filling Space Isn’t Enough
This is where I think communities sometimes make another mistake.
The goal shouldn’t simply be to fill every empty storefront.
The goal should be to create an environment where businesses can survive after they move in.
There is a big difference.
Getting someone excited enough to open a business is not economic development if that business closes eighteen months later.
Successful commercial districts need sustainable businesses.
That means understanding who is actually spending money in the community, where those customers come from, what brings them there and what types of businesses can realistically capture that spending.
It also means recognizing that not every storefront needs another version of something already available nearby.
A healthy downtown develops an ecosystem of businesses that complement one another and collectively give people more reasons to visit.
Small Businesses Need More Than Encouragement
We often tell people to “shop local.”
I certainly believe people should support local businesses whenever they can.
But slogans alone aren’t an economic strategy.
If we want entrepreneurs to invest their money, sign leases, hire employees and take the enormous personal risk involved in opening a business, communities have to think about the conditions surrounding those businesses.
Are we bringing people into our commercial districts?
Are we giving visitors reasons to stay longer?
Are we creating events that produce economic activity or simply attendance?
Are we making it easy for people to discover our businesses?
Are property owners reinvesting in commercial buildings?
Are we attracting businesses that fill genuine gaps in the market?
And perhaps most importantly, are we measuring any of it?
Those are much harder questions than asking why a storefront is empty.
But they are also much more useful.
Empty Windows Are Data
I tend to look at things through data, and vacant storefronts are a form of data.
They are telling us something.
One vacancy may simply mean a business owner retired.
Several vacancies appearing in the same area may tell us something entirely different.
The answer might involve consumer spending, rents, building conditions, changing shopping habits, insufficient foot traffic, lack of available workforce or any combination of those factors.
The important thing is not to jump immediately to the easiest explanation.
We should ask why.
Because an empty storefront is rarely just an empty building.
It represents lost economic activity. It represents fewer jobs. It represents less spending circulating through neighboring businesses. It can reduce the attractiveness of the surrounding commercial district and make the next entrepreneur a little more hesitant to invest.
That is the hidden cost.
Strong downtowns aren’t created by filling windows.
They’re created by building an economy strong enough to keep the businesses behind those windows alive.
And if we want fewer empty storefronts, that’s where the conversation has to begin.








